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Mumbai Saga Box Office Prediction: John Abraham and Emraan Hashmi’s face off with Covid and night curfew
Directed by Sanjay Gupta, Mumbai saga featuring John Abraham and Emraan Hashmi will release on 19 March. Read the Box Office prediction of the movie below.
Sanjay Gupta is back with another gangster film, Mumbai Saga, which is a battle royale between John Abraham and Emraan Hashmi. The feedback about the film from early screenings is on the positive side for the fast-paced narrative and powerful one-liners. It has been cleared by the censor board with A certificate and an approved run-time a little above 2 hours. (123 minutes approx.) and is gearing up for a release on approximately 2000 plus screens. Last week's horror comedy, Roohi had released on nearly 1400 screens across India.
The screen count of Mumbai Saga would have been higher in an ideal scenario, but a lot of single screens are still shut across the country and will open only towards mid-April, since there is a constant flow of releases post that with films like Sooryavanshi, Radhe, Satyameva Jayate and Bell Bottom arriving in a span of 30 days. To add on to the issues, the booking for Mumbai Saga has not opened so far in multiple single screens across India as the distributor, Anil Thadani, is trading the exclusive release window of Mumbai Saga with Satyameva Jayate, which is slated to open in the cinema halls on Eid alongside Radhe. The single screen owners at the moment are not bending down to the demands of Anil Thandani, which has resulted in delay in opening of advance bookings. The trailer of Mumbai Saga got a mixed response on social media; however, our exhibition sector gave it a thumbs up. On speaking to the exhibitors from the tier 2 and 3 cities, we could gauge that the trailer has enough elements for the single screen audience of India.
The feedback about the film from early screenings is on the positive side for the fast-paced narrative and powerful one-liners.
The music has not really worked for Mumbai Saga, as even their special track with Yo Yo Honey Singh, failed to leave a mark. The assets out so far have not made the kind of noise that is expected to bring back the large-scale consumption of the film and all the hopes are pinned on the content, which from what we hear is good enough to engage the audience. A better response to all the assets would have resulted in the film getting more ammunition to combat the challenges posed by the virus, but nonetheless, if Mumbai Saga opens in the same range as Roohi, the real value will definitely be surplus of Rs 5 crore. With a release this Friday, the biggest challenge for Mumbai Saga will be to combat the element of uncertainty as there is a constant fear of night curfew and lockdown all across the country. Certain key pockets of Maharashtra, which is the key market for the film, are already under lockdown, whereas some of the districts are following night curfew. The same is the scenario in Gujarat as well, as Night Curfew has been imposed in Ahmedabad, Surat, Vadodara and Rajkot. Restrictions are in place even in Indore and Bhopal. All these factors have a psychological impact on the mind of the audience and watching a film is the last thing on their mind in times like these with Covid cases rising every minute.
It’s a scenario of sheer bad luck for the Mumbai Saga team, as more restrictions are expected in the days to curb the virus spread and all that one can do is hope for the best result. It’s too late to pull back on the release given that the inventories are out and one isn’t in the state to entail any more overhead losses. Had the on-ground scenario been similar to what it was during the release week of Roohi, one could assure an opening upside of Rs 5 crore, but now, with the current state, an opening equivalent to Roohi will also be a commendable feat. It’s a tough scenario to predict the biz and one would of course be ecstatic if the film surpasses our expectations. Anything below Roohi would be a shocking result for not just the producers, but the entire film industry, but that’s the uncertainty of times we live in. If the film manages to bring the audience back in large numbers, we can officially say that cinema’s are back with a bang. The early biz predictions of Roohi were also on the lower side from the trade with expected range of Rs 2 to 2.25 crore, however, it overperformed vis-à-vis expectations. Hope the trend continues with Mumbai Saga as well. But here’s our conservative prediction, and the numbers can go higher or lower depending on the covid scenario on ground on the release date. The hope is on spot bookings at single screens.
It’s a scenario of sheer bad luck for the Mumbai Saga team, as more restrictions are expected in the days to curb the virus spread and all that one can do is hope for the best result.
Day One Prediction: Rs 2.75 to 3.75 crore
Screen Count: 2000 plus (can reach 2500 screen by end of Thursday)
Run Time: 2 Hour 3 minutes
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